EpiRadar: Forecasting and Global-Health-Policy Design to Mitigate Zika, Yellow Fever, and Other Mosquito-borne Diseases (Dr. Dhananjai Rao)

photo of Dhananjai RaoHumanity continues to confront health and socioeconomic hardships from several mosquito-borne diseases such as:

  • malaria
  • dengue
  • Chikungunya
  • Yellow Fever
  • Zika

Proactive interventions require "forecasts" (akin to weather forecasting) that anticipate questions of "where", "when", and "intensity" to describe the potential of an epidemic in order to preemptively contain. The proposed transdisciplinary effort will pursue collaborative preliminary investigations to establish a data-driven methodology for forecasting and assessing intervention strategies to mitigate and contain mosquito-borne epidemics, specifically Yellow Fever and Zika in West Africa, including: Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia.

The proposed effort builds on our prior methodology called EpiRadar — a result of over a decade of investigations conducted in ecological modeling, simulation, epidemiological analysis, and global health policy. EpiRadar was designed specifically for Chikungunya in Americas. The proposed investigations aim to establish feasibility and effectiveness of extending EpiRadar for forecasting and analysis of health policies for other mosquito-borne diseases, namely: Yellow Fever and Zika in West Africa.